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Home / Data points

The migration balance flips for the first time since 1948

Departures exceeded arrivals two years running. This is the pillar Ben-Gurion called the lifeblood of the project.

CBS · Taub Center
202120222023 20242025 +17k+50k+10k -26k-20k

David Ben-Gurion treated Jewish immigration as the lifeblood of the Zionist project, and the 1950 Law of Return was built to guarantee its flow. The reversal of this balance is therefore not a statistical footnote but a break in a founding pillar.

Per Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics, net migration was negative by about 26,000 in 2024 and by about 20,000 in 2025 (the final official figure): 69,300 residents left against only 19,000 who returned, plus 24,600 new immigrants. Departures exceeded arrivals for two consecutive years. The Taub Center projects the gap will widen to about 37,000 in 2026. Demographer Sergio DellaPergola describes this as a condition the entity has never seen, apart from brief spells in the 1950s and 1980s.

Correction (August 17, 2026): The previous version of this page used the figure of 37,000 as the 2025 estimate. That figure turns out to be the Taub Center's projection for 2026, not a 2025 number. The final official 2025 figure is a negative balance of about 20,000. The previous text read: "and by roughly 37,000 in 2025."

The figures

  • Aliyah in 2025: only about 24,600, down 8,000 from 2024, alongside a 10% cut to the Aliyah and Integration Ministry budget.
  • Departures of three months or more, 2023 to 2025: about 269,000, against an average of 60,000 a year in the previous decade (Tel Aviv University study, August 2026).
  • Population growth fell to about 1%, a historic low.

Why it matters

The Israeli economy runs on highly skilled human capital. Tel Aviv University researchers flagged departing physicians, engineers, and academics specifically, the cohorts hardest to replace and the ones the technology sector depends on.

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